COVID-19: Fourth Wave to Watch Out for in Alberta

We are surprised at how quickly the government plans to resume work and return to large-scale events.– says pediatrician Tehsin Ladha. The group she belongs to, the Edmonton Zone Medical Association, has raised much concern over the deconfinement plan.

It’s the fastest restart plan in the country, and it comes with a real fourth-wave risk, and no one wants to go through with it.she adds.

Alberta’s plan is very fast, also finds pulmonologist Alain Tremblay of Foothills Hospital and University of Calgary professor of medicine.

My biggest concern is the third phase, which can be implemented in less than three weeks, adds Alain Tremblay. There doesn’t seem to be any action after the end of June, unless you have COVID, isolation or quarantine. The plan doesn’t seem to take into account that COVID-19 will still be with us 1 hour July, and that the virus will continue to change, especially as we have more travel and other options in the future.

Without a plan, we will be in reaction mode, and if there is anything we have learned, he says, is that with COVID-19, the longer we wait, the harder it is, and we have to impose severe restrictions.

He would like the government to pay more attention to the importance of getting a second dose of the vaccine. He believes that a single dose deconfinement plan might make it clear that the second is not important, as new research shows that some options are much more robust.

People need to continue taking the second dose. This is starting to clear up, especially for the delta, which was found in India: protection is only one-third effective at a single dose, explains Dr. Tremblay. So you really need to take the second dose.

Cases of COVID-19 have spiraled out of control in India, where the variant was first discovered, and the latest wave has already swept hospitals.

Photo: Getty Images / Anindito Mukherjee

Delta variant

Tehsin Ladha adds that Alberta should look at what is happening in Europe, in particular in England, where there is an increase in the number of cases associated with the deltoid variant or B.1.617.2.

A study published in England found that the first dose of the vaccine protects only 34% of the variant originating in India. We have to build on what is being done elsewhere because this is changing rapidly., she said.

In Israel, before opening for major events, they made sure that 50% of the population received the second dose of the vaccine, and we must learn from what is happening elsewhere.she judges.

Infection is still possible: even vaccinated

Dr. Alain Tremblay believes that the fact that Alberta is basing her deconfinement plan on the number of first doses given sends the wrong message to the Albertans.

Now people are being told that if you’re out of the 30% unvaccinated, you can do whatever you want, but that doesn’t make sense, he says. If you are not vaccinated, you should not visit anyone in the emergency room or hospital. This is inconceivable!

“The options will be transferred,” says Dr. Tremblay. Even if you visit someone who is vaccinated, if you are not vaccinated, you will bring options to these centers.

We see him at the hospital. There are people who get sick, older people and even after vaccination they get sick with delta. There are some things you shouldn’t do if you are not vaccinated.

Quote from:Dr. Alain Tremblay, Pulmonologist, Foothills Hospital

“You don’t have to travel by plane, you shouldn’t travel the world or attend major social events,” he adds. I think we are afraid to say this in Canada, that if you make that choice, you will not be able to do what you want, that it is scientifically unreasonable.

In the coming months, he expects to see outbreaks in places with low vaccination rates.

I hope we don’t see a big wave, but we will see small flares here and there that will continue.– he notes.

I think it would take a small epidemic plan to have a tracking plan. If I understood correctly in 1eh July, even a contact case will no longer need self-isolation unless it is positive, which makes no sense.

Quote from:Dr. Alain Tremblay, Pulmonologist, Foothills Hospital
Two men from behind in front of the salute.

The stampede will return this year despite the pandemic.

Photo: Bill Marsh

Risk of major events

Dr. Tehsin Ladha is particularly concerned about the risk of returning large-scale events like the Calgary Stampede and festivals this summer.

Outdoor activities are generally safer, but during a panic run, people drink alcohol, gather in groups, come from different households, and don’t necessarily follow social distancing measures or public health measures., adding that the event also attracts people from outside the province.

We are very concerned that the Stampede may be a community event and that the number of cases is on the rise.she adds.

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