Electric vehicles: disaster this winter? Our forecasts

If the blackout hypothesis is unlikely, fuel prices at public terminals skyrocket. Here are the most likely guesses for the coming months.

Is the energy crisis a threat to the electric car? Probably not, but in the coming months, drivers will have to be especially vigilant not to strain their budget. Here’s what to expect this winter as Russian gas exports dwindle and French nuclear power plants face difficulties.

Power outage?

If it really gets cold this winter and EDF delays the opening of the nuclear reactors, we will take exceptional measures,” Emmanuelle Vargon, president of the Energy Regulatory Commission, said on September 19 into a microphone, France Info reports. RTE, which manages the French electricity grid, has already indicated that in the event of peak consumption, charging stations for zero-emission vehicles could be temporarily switched off. With all the ensuing consequences for motorists who have made the transition in recent months.

However, the operator wanted to reassure by pointing out that any contractions would be intermittent and short-lived. They will concern the municipality or district and will be listed upstream.

To avoid such scenarios, owners of a Renault Zoe, Citroën Ami, Nissan Leaf or Tesla Model 3 (among others) are encouraged to behave civilly and plug their car into an outlet during off-peak hours (avoiding the hours between 8:00 am and 1:00 pm and 6:00 pm). ). – 8 p.m.). Many cars are equipped with devices for programming the start and end of charging.

Limit house damage

The vast majority of electric vehicle charging takes place at home or at work. If the cost of a “wholesale” megawatt-hour (for electricity providers) is multiplied by ten, then the Elizabeth Bourne government has already announced that the regulated tariff increase will be capped at 15% in February 2023.

If the maximum increase applies and you are on a regulated rate, expect a 15% increase on your bill for the portion of your consumption (excluding subscription). For a full hour of recharging 50 kWh or about 250 km of autonomy, count 10.50 euros against 9.20 euros today.

Flash on swift terminal

In a figurative sense, of course. On September 19, the Tesla fast terminal network announced a 29% price increase per kilowatt-hour, from 0.52 to 0.67 euros for brand car owners. In its press release, manufacturer Elon Musk explicitly cites rising costs as the reason for this price increase. Specifically, recharging 50 kWh – approximately 250 kilometers of autonomy – therefore costs between 26 and 33.50 euros.

Another player in this universe, Allego, also announced a 20% price increase. At the terminal with an average capacity of 22 kW, the price will rise in early October from 0.50 to 0.60 euros per kWh. So a 50 kWh recharge would cost 30 euros instead of 25.

Other networks such as Ionity may follow suit in the coming weeks. Enough to make long electric car trips significantly more expensive than before, well above the rate of inflation (6.1% per year in July 2022, according to INSEE).

Going far is always more expensive…

Photo: Hamdi Ben Laga

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